Vistra Corp. 🇺🇸
VST • Technology • USA
⚡ 91.9/100
Wide Moat Score™
$137.09
+0.0% (24H)
Fundamental Snapshot • Market Cap: $46.0B
PEG Ratio
1.15x
GARP / VALUE
Forward P/E
15.9x
GROWTH FAIR
Revenue Growth YoY
-5.5%
MODERATE
Gross Margin
38.3%
MODERATE
Free Cash Flow
$37.1M
CASH FORTRESS
Debt / EBITDA
3.1x
LEVERAGED
📊 Proprietary 12-Point Fundamental Audit
| Audit Dimension | Benchmark Criterion | VST Actual | Evaluation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Economic Moat Strength | Software lock-in / high switching barrier / patent moat | Moat Score 91.9/100 | ✅ WIDE MOAT |
| 2. Pricing Power & Margins | Gross Margin > 40% sustainable | 38.3% Gross Margin | ⚠️ MODERATE |
| 3. Revenue Acceleration | YoY Top-Line Growth > 15% | -5.5% YoY | ⚠️ IN-LINE |
| 4. Peter Lynch PEG Ratio | PEG < 1.2x (Growth at a Reasonable Price) | 1.15x PEG Ratio | ✅ PASSED |
| 5. Fortress Balance Sheet | Debt / EBITDA < 2.5x | 3.1x Net Leverage | ⚠️ WATCH |
| 6. Free Cash Flow Generation | Positive and compounding FCF | $37.1M Free Cash Flow | ✅ PASSED |
| 7. Multiple vs Sector Median | Forward P/E reasonable vs earnings growth | Forward P/E: 15.9x | ✅ ATTRACTIVE MULTIPLE |
| 8. Management & Insider Ownership | Insider Ownership > 3% | 0.8% Insider Equity | ℹ️ INSTITUTIONAL |
| 9. Superinvestor Whale Backing | Held by Top 25 13F Wall St Whales | Stanley Druckenmiller | ✅ 13F WHALE BACKED |
| 10. Secular Industry Tailwinds | Exposure to multi-year compound themes | Technology sector expansion | ✅ PASSED |
| 11. Trailing P/E Multiple | Historical earnings multiple sanity | Trailing P/E: 23.1x | ✅ PASSED |
| 12. Overall Moat Conviction | Composite algorithmic evaluation | Overall Score: 91.9/100 | ✅ HIGH CONVICTION |
📝 MoatPicks Investment Thesis
Competitive Moat Breakdown: Key power generator benefiting from soaring data center electricity demand.
Valuation Verdict: Trading at a Forward P/E of 15.9x and PEG ratio of 1.15x, Vistra Corp. satisfies core fundamental screens for quality and durability.
🐋 Tracked Superinvestor Backing
🎯 Stanley Druckenmiller