ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. 🇺🇸
ZTO • Semiconductors • USA
📊 Proprietary 12-Point Fundamental Audit
| Audit Dimension | Benchmark Criterion | ZTO Actual | Evaluation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Economic Moat Strength | Software lock-in / high switching barrier / patent moat | Moat Score 83.0/100 | ✅ WIDE MOAT |
| 2. Pricing Power & Margins | Gross Margin > 40% sustainable | 25.1% Gross Margin | ⚠️ MODERATE |
| 3. Revenue Acceleration | YoY Top-Line Growth > 15% | +23.0% YoY | ✅ PASSED |
| 4. Peter Lynch PEG Ratio | PEG < 1.2x (Growth at a Reasonable Price) | 0.07x PEG Ratio | ✅ PASSED |
| 5. Fortress Balance Sheet | Debt / EBITDA < 2.5x | 1.5x Net Leverage | ✅ PASSED |
| 6. Free Cash Flow Generation | Positive and compounding FCF | $6.4B Free Cash Flow | ✅ PASSED |
| 7. Multiple vs Sector Median | Forward P/E reasonable vs earnings growth | Forward P/E: 1.6x | ✅ ATTRACTIVE MULTIPLE |
| 8. Management & Insider Ownership | Insider Ownership > 3% | 3.0% Insider Equity | ✅ ALIGNED |
| 9. Superinvestor Whale Backing | Held by Top 25 13F Wall St Whales | Institutional Superinvestor Interest | ℹ️ SCREENED |
| 10. Secular Industry Tailwinds | Exposure to multi-year compound themes | Semiconductors sector expansion | ✅ PASSED |
| 11. Trailing P/E Multiple | Historical earnings multiple sanity | Trailing P/E: 11.3x | ✅ PASSED |
| 12. Overall Moat Conviction | Composite algorithmic evaluation | Overall Score: 83.0/100 | ✅ HIGH CONVICTION |
📝 MoatPicks Investment Thesis
Competitive Moat Breakdown: High-quality compounder passing 9/9 fundamental checks. Strong balance sheet with Forward PER compression (1.6x vs 11.3x) and robust Free Cash Flow generation.
Valuation Verdict: Trading at a Forward P/E of 1.6x and PEG ratio of 0.07x, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. satisfies core fundamental screens for quality and durability.
📊 Frequently Asked Questions & Related Moat Stocks
1. What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO)'s Economic Moat Score in 2026?
In 2026, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) holds a proprietary MoatPicks Economic Moat Score™ of 83.0/100 (Wide Economic Moat). This 12-point fundamental audit evaluates ZTO's 25.1% gross margin, $6.4B free cash flow generation, +23.0% YoY revenue growth, and 1.5x Debt/EBITDA ratio. You can benchmark any stock's competitive durability interactively with our Economic Moat Score™ Checker.
2. Is ZTO stock undervalued right now based on P/E and PEG ratio?
Yes — ZTO currently screens as undervalued on a growth-adjusted basis with a Peter Lynch PEG ratio of 0.07x (below the 1.2x GARP threshold) and a Forward P/E of 1.6x. At a share price of $21.5, investors can stress-test ZTO's fair value using the MoatPicks Economic Moat Score™ Checker and FIRE compounding calculators. Model how compounding ZTO fits your long-term retirement target in our FIRE Financial Independence Calculator.
3. Which superinvestors and 13F hedge funds own ZTO stock?
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is actively monitored across our 25 tracked 13F superinvestor portfolios and institutional quality screens. Institutional capital focuses on ZTO's 25.1% gross margin, $6.4B free cash flow, and 1.5x Debt/EBITDA balance sheet.